Kerry: The Pro-Life Candidate?
2 comments | PermalinkGlen H. Stassen, the Lewis B. Smedes Professor of Christian Ethics at Fuller Theological Seminary, recently wrote an article called: Pro-Life? Look at the Fruits. His believes that the number of abortions have risen under the Bush presidency. He concludes: “Economic policy and abortion are not separate issues; they form one moral imperative. Rhetoric is hollow, mere tinkling brass, without health care, health insurance, jobs, childcare, and a living wage. Pro-life in deed, not merely in word, means we need a president who will do something about jobs and insurance and support for prospective mothers.” The implication is left that John Kerry would actually be a better pro-life president than George Bush.
My friend Matt Perman wrote a quick, persuasive response:
His first reason for the increase in abortions during Bush’s presidency is a decrease in employment and incomes, and a stagnant minimum wage. “In the past three years, unemployment rates increased half again. Average real incomes decreased, and the minimum wage has not been raised to keep up with inflation for seven years. With less income, many prospective mothers fear another mouth to feed.” He is implying that Bush’s policies are responsible for these things. I would say, instead, the economy began declining 6 months before Bush took office. Then, 9/11 hit. The recession and economic decline was therefore not Bush’s fault.
Instead, Bush’s economic policies kept the recession from being worse than it was. Almost all economists agree that in a recession, you cut taxes to stimulate economic growth. That’s what Bush did. And I’d argue, and Bush would too, that you should also cut taxes during the good times, because lower taxes increase the incentive to work and produce, thereby growing the economy more, recession or not. [Ed. note: See the recent comments by Edward Prescott—who shared the recent Nobel Prize in economics—who said the other day: “"The idea that you can increase taxes and stimulate the economy is pretty damn stupid.”] On a side note, I’d also want to add that minimum wage laws actually hurt the poor. This has been shown time and again. First, it needs to be said that most jobs are not minimum wage. Second, people who start at minimum wage don’t stay at minimum wage. If you are a good worker, you advance. But aside from those two things, minimum wage laws themselves hurt the poor. Here’s why: When there is a minimum that employers must pay, they hire less people (obviously, since the cost per employee is higher). That means unemployment goes up. Which means that there are less people that are able to get jobs, develop their skills, and move up the pay scale to higher paying jobs.
His second reason seems to be that there are fewer marriages occurring. Not sure how this can be pinned on Bush. Bush reduced the marriage penalty in our income taxes. The marriage penalty functioned as a disincentive to marriage, and Bush got rid of it. I would then add that, speaking to the last 50 years as a whole, it is actually liberal welfare programs (the kind of thing I think this author loves) that have kept so many inner-city people from marrying. The reason is that, because of the way welfare benefits were structured, it made more economic sense for an urban woman to keep having children but not marry. So welfare policies have destroyed the urban family.
Third, the author states: “Economic policy and abortion are not separate issues; they form one moral imperative. Rhetoric is hollow, mere tinkling brass, without health care, health insurance, jobs, childcare, and a living wage. Pro-life in deed, not merely in word, means we need a president who will do something about jobs and insurance and support for prospective mothers.” I agree that economic policy and abortion are not separate issues. But I totally disagree that increased government programs are the answer—and that is exactly what this guy is hinting at, obviously. I think that a pro free-market economic policy, which reduces government regulation and burdensome taxation, is actually the most pro-life economic policy you can have. The reason is that small government, low regulation, and low taxes stimulate economic growth. The result is that we have a rising tide that raises all boats. There are more jobs, so more poor can work. The economy is more productive, so the everyone, including the poor, make more money. So I am for Bush’s economic policies not because I don’t care about the poor, but precisely because I do care about the poor. Economic growth is the only long-term solution to poverty. Government expansion and entitlement programs actually make things worse, not better. This guy, then, has it backwards. He is opposing the very things that will solve the problems he cares so much about.
To these excellent points I would only add that John Kerry voted against the partial-birth abortion ban, against the bill that would make harming an unborn fetus a criminal act, and that in December of 2003, the NARL gave John Kerry a 100% rating for his pro-choice voting record. To think that John Kerry would be the better candidate to promote a culture of life in the United States, is frankly, a deeply mistaken fantasy.
UPDATE: The National Right to Life Committee has written a devastating piece on why Stassen's claims are "baseless" and how his numbers "don't add up." There's a short version and a longer version. Interesting quote, too:
Though he identifies himself as “consistently pro-life,” Stassen fails to mention that he was one of the original signatories of “A Call to Concern,” a 1977 document that expressed support for the Roe v. Wade decision and affirmed that “abortion in some instances may be the most loving act possible.”
(Hat tip: The Corner)



2 Comments:
I think it's fair to say that Stassen is not arguing for John Kerry for President, at least not in the article we're discussing. He doesn't even mention Kerry (that I can see in my quick re-read of the article). Now maybe you're saying that by bashing Bush he's implying that we should vote for Kerry.
But I certainly don't see it that way. I see it as a strong statement to pro-life Bush supporters that if you want abortion to end, you have to look at more than pro-life vs. pro-choice in the abortion category of the voter's pamphlet. You have to do more than cast your vote. Go right ahead and vote for Bush, he's the pro-life candidate (claiming that Kerry is pro-life based on Stassen's evidence is ludicrous -- again, he doesn't even mention Kerry). But then make darn sure that while he's in office he pursues policies that make it easier for mothers to decide against abortion.
Let me recapitulate what you are saying.
1. Stassen points out that statistical evidence shows that anti-poverty measures likely have a direct impact on abortions.
2. Stassen writes that while Bush may say he is pro-life, he has not been anti-poverty and as a result there has been an increase in abortions in recent years.
3. Your friend Perlman argues that the recession had nothing to do with Bush and that it would have been worse if Bush had not made his tax-cuts.
4. He then goes on to espouse a pretty doctrinaire Supply-Side Reaganomics that ties economic growth to the increased economic incentives with lower taxes.
5.He also states that minimum wages are bad for the poor as well and implicitly appeals to the economic and supply and demand model and countless unnamed studies.
6.Welfare is blamed for innercity people not marrying.
7.Bush's prolife and Kerry's prochoice records are cited and Bush is pointed as the hands down preferred candidate to promote the culture of life.
Now my response. PS, I am the Anti-Manicheist and I have a PhD in Economics.
1. You do not refute Stassen's evidence and Stassen's response given later shows that when you consider ambiguities in the data, it by no means undermines his basic point that there is a significant correlation over time between the economic opportunities of women and their abortion rates.
2.Ron Sider has written that BushAdmin policies have been slanted in favor of the rich and against the poor. This focuses on the distributional consequences of his policies and underlies Stassen's argument that the unintended consequences of Bush's policies have been to increase the number of abortions.
3.Perlman needs to cite more of his information. The fact that a recession was already in the works before Bush became president is not that important, since Stassens argument pertains to the increase in poverty over the entirety of the BushAdmin's term.
4. Supply-sider economics is not looked upon with a great deal of credulity in the Economics profession at large. The fact of the matter is that what causes long-term economic growth has not been settled by the profession. There is no robust empirical evidence that an unqualified lowering of taxes improves growth. The growth rate of the US's GDP has been lower ever since the early seventies and Reaganomics did not make it increase. In fact, the most interesting theory floating around today is that institutions are the cause of longterm growth. This fits with work done by Dani Rodrik at Harvard that shows that there are no definite "right" answers for encouraging economic growth/development.
5.The best research on the welfare effects of minimum wages has been done by David Neumark of the PPI of California. I believe he argues that raising the minimum wage is a relatively inefficient means of reducing poverty because of how it applies indiscriminately to many non-poor workers and how it does tend to cause some reduction in the number of lower-paying jobs. He has shown that Living Wages that are targeted in urban areas are more efficient anti-poverty instruments despite the fact that they also tend to reduce the number of lower-paying jobs.
6. Rebecca Blank refutes the notion that welfare is responsible for unwed mothers with empirical research in her book, "It takes a Nation".
I believe there is a substantial amount of evidence that economics earnings matters for whether people get married. There tends to be a significant earnings differential between married and never-married and divorced/separated males. And so it can be argued that anti-poverty measures are also pro-marriage.
Once upon a time, it did seem that a rising tide raised all boats and the solid economic growth we experienced under Clinton did reduce poverty and abortions. But it does not follow that alterations to property rights or the tax-code that favor the more wealthy has a positive spill-over on the rest of the population.
Tax-cuts are generally poor instruments for counter-cyclical policies, because while you may want to feed a recession, you will then want to raise taxes to starve an expansion. And there is too much delay in the process of passing tax-cuts/increases in the legislature for it to be an effective instrument.
No, if tax-cuts are justified, it is as a means for encouraging long-term growth. And even then, we need to first assess the likely behavioral incentive effect of significant tax-cuts. If tax-cuts don't have a good incentive effect over the course of the business cycle then they will just produce deficits, which will entail future tax-increases and have a nugatory net impact on growth.
I also have to mention that the "Real Business Cycle" approach of Prescott and Kydland did not deserve to get the Nobel Prize in Economics. Their flavor of Macro is only considered reputable in certain circles of the economics profession. They have largely tried to calibrate really complicated mathematical models of the economy to real world data and found that they could only do that by assuming that technology-shocks are constantly altering the production process.
7. The BushAdmin's abortion policy changes are not that laudatory. The PBAban does not prevent abortions. It forces doctors to use different procedures for later term abortions. And cancelling funding to third-world clinics that provide abortion procedures by no means ensures a net increase of lives saved.
The best idea for preventing abortions is the one I offer at my blog.
Also, the personal attacks on Stassen as not being really pro-life are sickening. I'm glad you apologized later, but pro-life political activists in general seem to lack sufficient autonomy from the Republican party.
dlw
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