The new Gallup poll released today has Bush vs. Kerry vs. Nader at 54-40-3. The Pew Research Poll, also released today, has the two-way race at 46-46. I'm sure the truth lies somewhere between those two.
Election Projection, which compiles all of the state and national polls, has the popular vote at Bush over Kerry, 51.1 to 47., with the electoral tally at 285 to 253. On the other hand, the Electoral Vote Predictor has it at Bush over Kerry, 311 to 223.