The Last Laffer
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What happens when the government lowers the tax rate on production, work, investment, and risk-taking? Answer: There is more production, work, investment, and risk-taking. The result: There is more, not less, tax revenue collection for the government. Economics 101, and the simple theory known as the Laffer Curve (illustration here). 0% taxation will yield no tax revenue for the governement and 100% will yield no tax revenue for the governement (since there is no incentive to work). Therefore, the government must seek a tax rate in between those extremes that will produce a maximum revenue.
Stephen Moore, in this morning's Wall Street Journal, explains that the Congressional Budget Office released its latest report on tax revenue earlier this month. "The numbers," he writes, "are an eye-popping vindication of the Laffer Curve and the Bush tax cut's real economic value." Federal tax receipts in the first eight months of fiscal year 2005 rose 15.4% over receipts in 2004. Since Bush's cuts in 2003, individual and corporate tax receipts have risen 30%. The Bush tax cuts have also created a revenue windfall for states and cities. And in the private sector, there is an investment boom. In short, the "tax cut rates have created a virtuous chain reaction of higher economic growth, more jobs, higher corprorate profits, and finally more tax receipts."
This doesn't mean that President Bush is necessarily a fiscal conservative's dream. He is, after all, a big-government conservative (as Fred Barnes accurately labeled him). Along with tax cuts, there also needs to be more serious restraint in spending.
But the fact remains that the Bush tax cuts have been great for the economy, and great for the middle class. Just remember that when 2008 rolls around, and we begin to hear about those evil "tax cuts for the rich" and how it hurts the poor and the middle class.
Stephen Moore, in this morning's Wall Street Journal, explains that the Congressional Budget Office released its latest report on tax revenue earlier this month. "The numbers," he writes, "are an eye-popping vindication of the Laffer Curve and the Bush tax cut's real economic value." Federal tax receipts in the first eight months of fiscal year 2005 rose 15.4% over receipts in 2004. Since Bush's cuts in 2003, individual and corporate tax receipts have risen 30%. The Bush tax cuts have also created a revenue windfall for states and cities. And in the private sector, there is an investment boom. In short, the "tax cut rates have created a virtuous chain reaction of higher economic growth, more jobs, higher corprorate profits, and finally more tax receipts."
This doesn't mean that President Bush is necessarily a fiscal conservative's dream. He is, after all, a big-government conservative (as Fred Barnes accurately labeled him). Along with tax cuts, there also needs to be more serious restraint in spending.
But the fact remains that the Bush tax cuts have been great for the economy, and great for the middle class. Just remember that when 2008 rolls around, and we begin to hear about those evil "tax cuts for the rich" and how it hurts the poor and the middle class.



6 Comments:
Good stuff Justin! Hope you are having a blessed Sunday.
Big Chris
Isn't it possible that the raise in revenue could be from other sources? His analysis is very week. I have a background in economics and I think attributing growth to one aspect is on very waek ground. He's got a lot more explaining to do to convince me.
JT....I am not sure that the tax cuts have been as good as you think for the middle class, and I also think that they have been harmful for the lower class. The Tax cuts have shifted a larger burden on to the lower and middle classes by the spending cuts that were necessary due to the tax cuts. Health care has increased, the cost of education has increased, the cost of childcare has increased, state taxes have increased (largely because formerly federally funded programs were no longer funded), etc. While the federal tax cut may have reduced federal taxes, it increased spending elsewhere.
JT - This is off topic, but by any chance did you disable post pages or something? I'm using an RSS reader* and your individual post pages seem to be a little messed up...they were fine about a week ago.
Just FYI - thanks for the great blog,
AG
*Firefox w/Sage
dave,
OK so a tax cut for the rich (as you contend) was a tax increase for the middle and lower income families?? No where in the tax code was the rate increased for anyone by Pres. G.W. Bush. The cuts went to the people who pay taxes (which happens to include the rich, which I am not a member of). In fact, many more low income people were added to the ranks of those who pay NO TAXES. The percentage of the total stream of tax revenue, middle and lower income earners may have gone up a miniscule amount but those people did not pay more taxes after the tax cut than they did before (unless they were given a raise of course).
Don't buy into the mainstream media lies... you have and can use a computer so you must be much smarter than that.
dave Part II,
Tax revenues have gone up because of the tax cut policies of the Republicans in Congress and the White House. The increases you speak of here - childcare and healthcare have little or nothing to do with tax cuts. I could give you a littany of reasons why those areas costs have gone up, but I will give only one- trial lawyers and the rising cost of liability insurance due to trial lawyers and their frivolous lawsuits.
I know this for a fact... everyone I have ever worked for wa snot in the low or middle income brackets - meaning: the people who take chances and create jobs are the ones who make it to the top income brackets and for that you are villifying them. We are a capitalist society, for the most part. Scoialism and communism have failed miserably everywhere it has been tried - recently a Canadian court has ruled that their Socialized medicine is illegal because of the massive wait to get necessary medical attention. We do not want that.
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