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Friday, October 19, 2007

David Brooks on Mike Huckabee

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I consider the NYT's David Brooks to be one of our most astute cultural and political critics, so I think this article is a significant development in Mike Huckabee's candidacy for the presidency:
The first thing you notice about Mike Huckabee is that he has a Mayberry name and a Jim Nabors face. But it’s quickly clear that Huckabee is as good a campaigner as anybody running for president this year. And before too long it becomes easy to come up with reasons why he might have a realistic shot at winning the Republican nomination:

1. Republican voters here and in Iowa are restless. That means that there will be sharp movements during the last 30 days toward whoever seems fresh and hot.

2. Each of the top-tier candidates makes certain parts of the party uncomfortable. Huckabee is the one candidate acceptable to all factions.

3. Huckabee is the most normal person running for president (a trait that might come in handy in a race against Hillary Clinton). . . .

4. He is part of the new generation of evangelical leaders. . . .

5. Though you wouldn’t know it from the past few years, the white working class is the backbone of the G.O.P. Huckabee is most in tune with these voters.

6. He’s a former governor. He talks about issues in a down-to-earth way that other candidates can’t match.

7. He’s a collaborative conservative.
Read the whole thing. Conclusion:

Huckabee has some significant flaws as a candidate. His foreign policy thinking is thin. Some of his policy ideas seem to come off the top of his head (he vows, absurdly, to make the U.S. energy independent within eight years).

But Huckabee is something that the party needs. He is a solid conservative who is both temperamentally and substantively different from the conservatives who have led the country over the past few years.

He’s rising in the polls, especially in Iowa. His popularity with the press corps suggests he could catch a free media wave that would put him in the top tier. He deserves to be there.


17 Comments:

Anonymous dan erickson said...

I think David Brooks may be hitting the nail on the head. I am concerned about his lack of depth in foreign policy, but perhaps surrounding himself with solid advisors will work. I agree that his biggest strength is that he seems to be the most "normal" of the Republican candidates, with little moral or ethical baggage. Perhaps that could be his campaign slogan--"A normal person, you can trust." I have pretty much dismissed Huckabee s "unelectable." Yet, with the increasingly obvious flaws of Guiliani, McCain, Romney, Thompson (and Paul!) there may be many mainstream conservative voters who would opt for Huckabee.

10/19/2007 09:39:00 AM  
Anonymous Timbo said...

The first thing you notice about Mike Huckabee is that he has a Mayberry name and a Jim Nabors face.

Actually, it's more of a Kevin Spacey face.

10/19/2007 09:40:00 AM  
Blogger Joe said...

I like Huckabee a lot, but I think Brooks may have overstepped in saying that Huckabee is acceptable to all factions of the Republican party. The fiscal conservatives aren't very fond of him (just check out the Club for Growth). My guess is that the libertarian-leaning Republicans would also have issues with some of his proposals (the smoke-ban, for instance).

Nevertheless, from what I can see, Huckabee seems like a solid, winsome evangelical politician. And for that, we should be thankful.

10/19/2007 10:21:00 AM  
Blogger David said...

If Huckabee doesn't get the Republican nomination, I'm voting for Stephen Colbert.

No joke.

10/19/2007 12:04:00 PM  
Anonymous Jonathan said...

David,

You could, of course, vote for Huckabee even if he does not get the Republican nomination. That is what I plan on doing.

10/19/2007 12:16:00 PM  
Blogger michele said...

Huckabee is a continuation of the Bush presidency. If you are happy with Bush, you'll be happy with Huckabee.

10/19/2007 12:36:00 PM  
Blogger Matthew Bradley said...

Michele spoke my thoughts before me. Hoping he will surround himself with good counselors in order to make up for his deficiency in an area as critical as foreign policy sounds eerily reminiscent of hopes expressed concerning GWB. Is there any reason to believe he knows and would utilize the insights of anyone that is qualified in the realm of foreign policy? He hasn't exactly been running in those circles. I think Huckabee is a great candidate for evangelicals that still vote on the basis of single issues such as abortion or homosexuality. He is likely to be the only candidate to take a conservative stand in those areas. Otherwise, I can't see anything redeeming about his candidacy. And elect-ability, while necessary, does not constitute a redeeming quality. It is only encouraging when found in a candidate in tandem with solid planks that form a solid platform.

10/19/2007 01:12:00 PM  
Anonymous Jeremy Pierce said...

Joe is right. The Club for Growth fiscal conservatives think Huckabee is as bad as any Democrat. Like single-issue social conservatives, they see someone as fully liberal for not matching up with them on one issue or set of issues and can't distinguish between Huckabee the social conservative and Hillary Clinton (as social conservatives of a certain stripe can't distinguish between Giulian and Clinton).

10/19/2007 03:39:00 PM  
Blogger Yi-Lun said...

Brooks left out another significant flaw: The guy doesn't buy into evolution and doesn't think its relevant to his job as President. I mean, I don't buy into religion but I figure its a significant impact on the Presidency...

10/19/2007 05:00:00 PM  
Blogger Larry Perrault said...

Joe, The Club For Growth has a major contributor who got crosswise with Huckabee in Arkansas. The Club For Growth has had it in for Huckabee since before his announcement. Can they really possibly be as ignorant as they sound about the relative responsibility and jurisdiction of federal presidents vs state governors as they sound? He raised taxes to rebuild the state's old and deteriorated highway system, and in response to an AK Supreme Court order to improve schools, which he did with results, because he imposed accountability standards.

And Matthew, which American president was elected with a great foreign policy resume? NY Gov, FDR? CA govs Nixon or Reagan? AK gov Clinton? Texas gov G/W. Bush? A foreign policy resume is a silly qualification and in fact, could muddle what is truly necessary: principle, sobriety, understanding human nature, resolve, and love of America, all of which Huckabee has in spades. Believe me, he'll appoint an able and responsible cabinet.

I don't buy macro-evolution and if you've read more on both sides of that debate than I have, you've read more than 99.5% of the population. And, I'm not talking about high school science textbooks and American pop-magazines.

Full Disclosure: I am a yearlong Huckabee supporter and blogger. I have watched the up-close details and unfolding of the campaign all year. Huckabee WILL "surprise" in Iowa. Seeing this coming, especially Romney (right now in Iowa, I forecast Thompson in the teens and Giuliani and McCain in single digits) will attack him fiercely. What he needs is money to air a defense from that. We need a million $10 donors.
http://mikehuckabee.com

10/19/2007 05:49:00 PM  
Blogger Ken Abbott said...

Larry: Nixon was never governor of California. He represented that state as senator, then was Eisenhower's VP for eight years. Nominated for president in 1960, he lost to JFK in a squeaker. He tried for the Californnia governorship but lost, famously telling the press afterward that they wouldn't have Nixon to kick around anymore. Then came 1968 and he got the Republican nomination again and this time won the general election.

Truman and Johnson both came out of the senate and succeeded to the presidency upon the deaths of the incumbents. Ford was a senior member of the House who became president after Nixon resigned. Jimmah was governor of Georgia. Bush 41 held a number of offices (including that of ambassador to China), elective and appointed; he probably had the most prior foreign policy experience of any president in recent decades. See where that got him.

10/19/2007 06:50:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

I'm so tired of people saying Huckabee doesn't have a chance. If we give him a chance, than he has a chance. I don't care how much money the top tier candidates have.

And I disagree with folks who equate Huckabee with Bush. I like the fact that Huckabee is different than Bush. He's actually convincing when he speaks. He's not from the "grunting equals strong leadership" school of communication. And while Bush gave lip-service to "compassionate conservatism" Huckabee seems to embody it.

In terms of his policies and the kind of conservatism he represents I'd vote for him even if he wasn't an evangelical.

He is power recommended in my opinion.

10/19/2007 07:41:00 PM  
Blogger Larry Perrault said...

My bad on Nixon. I remember my father taking me to a cvampaign even in '68, when I was about ten.

Yeah, George H.W. Bush had the experience. But, it didn't give him "the vision thing."

Huckabee is smarter and more princi[pled than most of our presidents have been in this century, let alone presidential candidates. I've always hated the "he doesn't have a chance" line. The one who has the best chance is the one who gets the most votes. So, it's crazy for the ones who deliver the votes to say, "he doesn't have a chance." Especially when they say, I like him, but he doesn't have a chance.

At this point, I would predict thaty Huckabee would finish second in Iowa. And, there' nearly 3 months for him to challenge for first. His numbers in state polls have never gone anywhere but upward.

10/19/2007 09:28:00 PM  
Blogger Larry Perrault said...

My bad on Nixon. I remember my father taking me to a cvampaign even in '68, when I was about ten.

Yeah, George H.W. Bush had the experience. But, it didn't give him "the vision thing."

Huckabee is smarter and more princi[pled than most of our presidents have been in this century, let alone presidential candidates. I've always hated the "he doesn't have a chance" line. The one who has the best chance is the one who gets the most votes. So, it's crazy for the ones who deliver the votes to say, "he doesn't have a chance." Especially when they say, I like him, but he doesn't have a chance.

At this point, I would predict thaty Huckabee would finish second in Iowa. And, there' nearly 3 months for him to challenge for first. His numbers in state polls have never gone anywhere but upward.

10/19/2007 09:29:00 PM  
Anonymous Jeremy Pierce said...

Yi-Lun, have you considered the possibility that Huckabee's view on evolution really doesn't impact the presidency because he doesn't think his view on the subject should affect its teaching in schools? Because that's his view.

Now he may also think that intelligent design arguments should be taught in schools, but that's a separate issue. You can accept those arguments while accepting evolution, as Michael Behe, one of their strongest proponents, does. He certainly wouldn't recommend not teaching evolution.

10/20/2007 06:50:00 AM  
Anonymous Katie said...

Just a suggestion to Larry Perrault: You might want to do some research on state abbreviations. AK is Alaska and AR is Arkansas. :)

10/21/2007 01:17:00 PM  
Blogger MTR said...

If you love Huckabee, then join me in giving him some money. My wife and I have two kids and one meager income. But we've committed to putting our money where our mouth is.

Join us and contribute some bucks to Huck!

Christians are too dang tight with money to support good political candidates. Let's go!

10/22/2007 12:47:00 AM  

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